I am Ph.D. in Applied Economics from Universidad Autónoma de Barcelona with experience in economic analysis ...More about
Evalution Specialist at Ministry of Planning - Colombia (Departemento Nacional de Planeación)More about
Work in progress, working papers, and moreMore about
Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Barcelona GSE, Bellaterra, España
Ph.D in Applied Economics (Cum Laude)July 2017.Thesis Topic:
Essays on Development Economics: Three research papers that combines the evaluation of health universalization policy and the study of adaptability and resilience to the effects of climate change on health and labor outcomes in Jamaica.Adviser:Diether Beuermann- Inter-American Development BankDefense comitee:Giacomo de Giorgi (Chair) - University of Geneva and Barcelona GSE
Libertad Gonzalez - Universitat Pumpeu Fabra and Barcelona GSE
Emilio Padilla - Universitat Autònoma de BarcelonaArea of Study:
Climate Change, Development Economics, Environmental Economics
Master in Economic AnalysisJuly 2014.Thesis Topic:
Is There Any Informal Insurance? The Case of Jamaica. Using geo-referenced data for the strongest hurricanes from NOAA during 2002 - 2008 and the Jamaica’s Household survey, this paper investigates whether households use informal social insurance as coping strategy to mitigate climate impacts.Adviser:Giacomo de Giorgi - University of Geneva and Barcelona GSE.Area of Study:
Universidad de Los Andes, Bogotá DC, Colombia
Master of Arts in EconomicsMarch 2008.Thesis Topic:
An Extension of Downs’ Political Competition Model using Fuzzy Logic (Social choice under policies’ fuzzy perception)Adviser:Alvaro Moreno- Universidad Nacional de ColombiaArea of Study:
Fuzzy sets applyed into Median Voter Theorem
B.A. in EconomicsSeptember 2006
Inter-American Development Bank-Washington DC
Synthetic controls.December 2015,Instructor:Alberto Abadie (Harvard University).
Regression Discontinuity Design.October 2015,Instructor:Matias Cattaneo (University of Michigan).
Departamento Nacional de Planeación-DNP (Ministry of Planning). 2020.
Evaluation specialist and coordinator of the evaluations group
The main tasks are to design the DNP's evaluation of public policies' agenda, define evaluation teams, deliver knowledge on evaluation strategies to public institutions, strengthening international relationships with entities in the field. Also, I am the leader of the impact evaluation of Ingreso Solidario program.
Centro de Estudios Regionales Cafeteros y Empresariales - CRECE. 2018 - 2020. Bogotá - Manizales, Colombia.
I was the lead economist at the center. Coordinate and organize tasks teams in order to fulfill client's needs on economic analysis and impact evaluations on a broad set of interventions, principally (but not restricted to) those implemented in the rural, agricultural areas -Education, sustainability, housing.
Inter-American Development Bank Group. 2008-2018. Washington D.C. USA.
Applied microeconomist, Panel data analyst, Impact evaluation and causal inference analyst.Country Department Caribbean Countries- Consultant.Tasks:
I was the lead researcher on the causal effects of climate change on socioeconomic outcomes in the Caribbean.
- Office of Evaluation and Oversight - Research Fellow.Tasks:
I was the lead researcher on the causal effects of housing vouchers on socioeconomic outcomes in Colombia and Panama.
World Bank Group. Washington D.C. USA. 2010 - 2012.
World Development Report group and Data Group Research Department - Consultant.Data base engineer and Dataset management for the World Bank’s micro-data repository.
Presidency of Colombia. Acción Social. Bogotá, Colombia. 2007 - 2008.
Technical adviser for Survey design Field Supervisor and data analystSub-direction of Aid to refugee population and to Alternative development programs for illicit crops in Department of Meta. Refugees Living conditions’ Survey design, field supervisor, and analyst.
Centro de Estudios Regionales Cafeteros y Empresariales - CRECE. 2018 - present. Bogotá - Manizales, Colombia.
Publications, WorkING PAPERS, AND BOOK CHAPTERS
JOB MARKET PAPER: The Effects of Natural Disasters on Labor Market: Do Hurricanes Increase Informality?
The effect of eliminating health user fees on adult health and labor supply in Jamaica
This paper estimates the effects of Jamaica’s elimination of user fees in public health facilities on the health and labor supply of working-age individuals. The policy change affected about 83 percent of the population, that is, those who lack health insurance and mainly rely on the public health system. The analysis finds no effects among individuals younger than 40 years old. However, for individuals within the 40–64 age range, the analysis finds that the policy reduced the number of lost days due to illness by 44.3 percent. No effects were found on employment or labor formality at the extensive margin. However, consistent with a reduced number of lost days, the analysis identified a positive effect on labor supply at the intensive margin equivalent to 3.04 weekly hours. Finally, overall benefits are relatively stronger for women, thereby reducing the observed baseline disadvantages relative to men. Read more. Journal of Health Economics
The effects of weather shocks on early childhood development: Evidence from 25 years of tropical storms in Jamaica
This study analyses the effects of exposure to tropical storms and hurricanes during pregnancy on children’s anthropometric measures taken within the first five years of life. We merge destruction indexes calculated at the district level with 13 yearly rounds of household level surveys from Jamaica. The empirical strategy exploits variation arising from the storms’ timing and intensity across different cohorts within the same district. The findings rule out medium-to-large overall adverse effects of tropical storms. However, when expectant mothers living in coastal-rural areas are affected by the cumulative destruction of two hurricanes, their children experience negative impacts on both weight-for-age and weight-for-height measures. Read more. Economics and Human Biology
The Effect of Eliminating Health User Fees on Adult Health and Labor Supply in Jamaica
We estimate the effects of Jamaica’s abolition of user fees in public health facilities on health status and labor supply of working age individuals. This policy affected about 83 percent of the population who lack health insurance and mainly rely on the public health system. We find no effects among relatively younger individuals below 40 years old. However, for individuals within the 40–64 age range, we find that the policy reduced the number of lost days due to illnesses by 44.3 percent. We find no effects on employment or labor formality at the extensive margin. However, consistent with a reduced number of lost days, we find a positive effect on labor supply at the intensive margin equivalent to 3.04 weekly hours. Furthermore, effects are stronger for women, thereby reducing the observed baseline disadvantages relative to men. Forthcoming Journal of Health Economics
Religion as an Unemployment Insurance and the Basis of Support for Public Safety Nets: The Case of Latin America and the Caribbean.
Trust and Institutions in Caribbean Countries. Published in Nurturing institutions for a resilient Caribbean / editors, Diether W. Beuermann and Moisés J. Schwartz.
The Effects of Crime on Economic Growth, Tourism, Fear, Emigration, and Life Satisfaction. Published in Restoring paradise in the Caribbean: combatting violence with numbers / editors, Heath- er Sutton, Inder Ruprah.
Work in progress
Impact Evaluation of Ingresos Solidario
Colombian government executed the most massive data analysis in history to locate vulnerable populations to include them in the social safety net. The result is the design of a Non'conditional Cash Transfer to cover vulnerable households that are not eligible for other programs like Familias en Acción, Jóvenes en Acción, Colombia Mayor, in others. This program is called Ingreso Solidario, and it is intended to help vulnerable populations cope with the risk associated with losing jobs due to COVID 19 pandemic. This evaluation will shed light in two directions: first, it will tell to the government how the program helped the beneficiaries to overcome the adverse effects of the stay-at-home policy on some welfare-related outcomes, and second, understand how this kind of programs could allow the vulnerable population improves financial inclusion conditions. The latter will guide the government to improve the channels to reach vulnerable and poor households more effectively.
Did Ingresos Solidario Reduce Mobility?
Restrictions to mobility were, across the globe, paramount policies to reduce the spread of COVID-19. However, this kind of measure is hard to obey, especially for informal and vulnerable populations due to their income generation process. Colombian government designed a Non'conditional Cash Transfer program to cover those informal and vulnerable households that are not eligible for other programs like Familias en Acción, Jóvenes en Acción, Colombia Mayor, in others. Using mobile phone data from Grandata and UNDP, we would like to test if the program implied a reduction in mobility exploiting variation from Ingreso Solidario's beneficiaries' geographic location. This evidence will shed light on how the program helped or not its beneficiaries in reducing exposure to the virus. A potential transmission channel is through a reduction of the need to go out to generate income. This transmission channel will be tested in the impact evaluation.
Also, the plugin can be downloaded from here.
A four-variate likelihood function using Stata is provided in the following link:
- 22nd Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association (LACEA) and Latin American Meeting of the Econometric Society (LAMES). Buenos Aires, Argentina 2017
- International Economics Association - World Congress. Mexico D.F. Mexico. 2017
- Allied Social Science Association (ASSA) Meeting, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. USA. 2018
Calle 26 # 13 -19, piso 36